If you’ve ever stared at your pipeline spreadsheet thinking something was off, you’re not alone. For many RevOps and sales leaders, the problem isn’t the reps. The problem is in the metrics they’re using and sharing to measure success. Relying on close rate alone can throw off your forecast, inflate your funnel, and hide the real story about performance. To win, you need to look at win rate.
In this post, we’re breaking down the difference between win rate and close rate: what they really measure, why it matters, and how the smartest teams use both to drive repeatable growth. (Spoiler: Outreach customers have seen an average 26% boost in win rates by focusing on the right opportunities and tightening up execution.)
Let’s dive in and start measuring what actually moves the needle.
Close rate measures how many deals your team closes compared to the total number of leads that came through the door. It’s a way to gauge performance because it tells you from a high level how many initial prospects ended up becoming customers.
But here’s the catch: close rate includes every lead, even the unqualified ones. That means it often reflects more about lead volume than sales effectiveness. So, if your SDR team is loading the funnel with low-quality prospects, your close rate is going to take a hit, even if your AEs are doing everything right.
While close rate is helpful for understanding top-of-funnel conversion and lead quality, it doesn’t give RevOps or sales leaders the insight they need to forecast with confidence or coach reps effectively.
The formula for close rate is simple:
Close Rate = (Number of Deals Closed ÷ Total Number of Leads) × 100
Let’s say your team closed 50 deals last quarter and had 1,000 leads come in. Your close rate would be:
(50 ÷ 1,000) × 100 = 5%
Quick and easy math, but that 5% doesn’t tell you much about how well your reps are selling. Again, that’s because close rate doesn’t account for lead quality. Whether a lead was a perfect fit or completely unqualified, it still counts in the total. If your funnel is full of noise, your close rate might look worse than it really is.
That’s where win rate comes in, and why many sales leaders rely on both metrics to get a clearer picture.
Win rate tells you how often your team wins qualified deals, which are the opportunities that have a strong chance of closing. Unlike close rate, which looks at every lead that enters your funnel, win rate focuses on the deals that have been vetted and passed qualification.
Think of it like this: if your sales funnel is a race, close rate tracks everyone who signed up, even the folks who never showed up to the starting line. Win rate? It only looks at the runners who actually took off and tells you how many of them crossed the finish line.
In other words, it’s not about volume. It’s about effectiveness. Once a deal is considered real pipeline, win rate shows how often your reps are able to close it.
Here’s the formula:
Win Rate = (Deals Won ÷ Qualified Opportunities) × 100
Let’s say your team closed 50 deals last quarter and had 1,000 total leads. That gives you a:
Close Rate = (50 ÷ 1,000) × 100 = 5%
Now let’s say that, out of those 1,000 leads, only 200 were qualified opportunities. Using that number:
Win Rate = (50 ÷ 200) × 100 = 25%
So, while your close rate might look low at 5%, your win rate tells a very different story. Your reps are actually closing 1 out of every 4 qualified deals, which is a strong indicator of solid sales execution.
For RevOps and sales leaders, win rate is one of the most telling metrics. It gives a clear signal of how well your team is executing when it counts, helping you forecast more accurately, identify coaching opportunities, and double down on what’s working in your sales process.
See how Outreach helps teams sell smarter.
At a glance, win rate and close rate might seem interchangeable. They both measure how many deals you close. But dig a little deeper, and the differences are clear. Each metric tells a different part of the story. Close rate gives you a broad view of funnel performance, especially at the top, while win rate focuses on what happens after qualification, where the meaningful selling happens.
Knowing which metric to lean on (and when) can help you pull the right levers: whether it’s tightening up lead quality, refining rep coaching, or improving your forecast accuracy. Think of close rate as your “funnel health check” and win rate as your “rep performance snapshot.” You need both for different reasons.
Here’s how they compare side by side:
Both metrics have value, but if you're leading a sales team and need to understand how well reps are selling, win rate is your go-to. It's tied directly to execution, making it a stronger indicator of sales effectiveness, pipeline health, and forecast accuracy.
Close rate still has its place, especially for evaluating top-of-funnel trends and lead quality. But it shouldn't be the foundation of your forecasting model or rep coaching strategy. Win rate, when tracked with a unified system of action like Outreach, actually becomes your most reliable source of truth for rep performance and revenue forecasting.
In a business with a dozen measurable metrics, if you want a clear picture of how well your sales team is actually performing, win rate is the best place to look. Win rate reflects how effectively reps are turning real opportunities into closed deals, which is a much better indicator of sales success and a far more measurable metric for sales leader. Win rate paints the scene of the sales team and is a signal you can act on. It helps you coach reps more effectively, refine your sales process, and forecast with far more confidence.
“With Outreach, the win-loss model gives you a bird’s-eye view of your pipeline—showing how opportunities progress through each stage, how long it takes, how many activities it requires, and where deals are getting stuck or lost. It’s not just about win rate overall, but win rate within each stage.” — Thom Lautenbach, Manager, Commercial Sales, Outreach
Improving win rate doesn’t require a full sales transformation but it does take intention. You don’t need to blow up your playbook. In fact, with a few smart tweaks in the right places, you can drive more consistent outcomes and stronger rep performance.
Let’s walk through five proven strategies to improve both win rate and close rate:
Your metrics are only as strong as your leads, ie bad leads = bad metrics. If low-quality prospects are slipping into the pipeline, they’ll quickly drag down both win and close rates. So, it’s critical to set clear qualification criteria and stick to them.
With Outreach, teams can automatically enforce good qualification habits by building their preferred sales methodologies’ criteria into Opportunity views or Success Plans. That ensures reps are only working deals that meet are in an active buying cycle. Outreach’s AI Agents take this a step further by parsing through leads and using behavioral triggers to only present qualified leads to reps. The result is more focus, less noise, and better conversion rates down the line.
It happens to the best of sellers. Deals just get stuck. But with the right tools in place, you can catch those slowdowns early and coach reps in the moment, not after the fact.
Using a conversation intelligence tool, like Outreach’s Kaia, sales leaders can identify common friction points, like pricing objections or missing stakeholders, then guide reps on how to move things forward. (If you’re curious about conversation intelligence, we’ve got a few handy blog posts on the topic to check out such as our recent post explaining the ins and outs of CI).
Teams that use data-driven coaching have been shown to increase revenue by up to 20% (source: McKinsey).
If your CI, CRM, and forecasting tools all live in different tabs, it’s way too easy for critical insights to get lost in the shuffle. There’s nothing worse than jumping between platforms, piecing together context, and wasting time just trying to find the info you need. It’s the swivel-chair problem, and it’s one of the biggest killers of productivity across any tech-driven industry.
Outreach solves that by acting as your system of action. It pulls everything into one place, so sales managers don’t have to dig for deal history or pipeline data. Everything’s connected, up to date, and ready to guide the next best move.
Your win rate isn’t one-size-fits-all, so tracking it that way can hide important patterns. By segmenting your win rate data with things like deal size, industry, or persona, you can uncover patterns that inform your sales strategy.
According to our Sales 2024 report, mid-market and commercial segments are highly competitive, with many organizations targeting these areas. Understanding your win rates in these crowded segments can help you refine your approach and stand out.
Outreach pipeline management and forecasting makes it easy to break down performance by segment so you can double down on your most effective strategies and quickly spot areas for improvement.
Waiting until the end of the quarter to analyze your win rate can be too late. Real-time insights allow you to make adjustments on the fly, keeping deals on track. It becomes like a live signal for how your team is doing.
Kaia, provides live guidance during sales calls, helping reps handle objections and stay aligned with the sales process. This proactive approach has led to significant improvements for customers.
So, you’ve used the formulas and tools, calculated your team’s win rate, and are wondering how to analyze it. Understanding how your win rate stacks up against industry benchmarks can provide valuable context and help set realistic goals for improvement.
Win rates can vary significantly depending on your target market and deal size. Here's a breakdown based on recent industry data:
Market Segment | Average Win Rate | Top Performers |
Enterprise | 20–25% | 45–60% |
Mid-Market | 25–35% | 50–55% |
SMB | 30–40% | 55–60% |
Overall SaaS | ~22% | Up to 60% |
But win rate doesn’t just shift by market. It also changes by deal size. According to Outreach’s Sales 2024 data, the larger the deal, the longer it stays open, and the harder it is to win:
Deal Size | Avg. Days Open | Avg. Win Rate |
Under $10K | 85 days | 31.3% |
$10K–$50K | 128 days | 24.0% |
$50K–$100K | 182 days | 19.6% |
$100K+ | 198 days | 18.7% |
It depends. While benchmarks provide a useful reference, you can’t think of win rates in a vacuum. It's essential to consider your company's unique context:
Remember, a "good" win rate is one that improves over time. Regularly analyze your sales process, identify bottlenecks, and implement targeted strategies to enhance performance.
Improving win rate takes consistent execution, strong processes, and visibility into what’s actually happening in your pipeline. Outreach can help.
Outreach is your team’s system of action, designed to drive better outcomes at every stage of the sales cycle.
In fact, according to our sales cycle analysis, the average sales cycle for companies with an Outreach tool like Kaia is only 95 days with a 38% win rate. When compared to companies selling solo, who have a sales sycle of 117 days and a 27% win rate, that’s quite a jump.
We’ve got more proof too, by the way.
Our customer, Pushpay increased their win rate by 62% after implementing Outreach’s conversation intelligence and coaching workflows. Learn about it below:
When the right insights are surfaced at the right time, and your entire sales team is operating from the same playbook is when win rates start to scale.
Close rate might make your funnel look full, but win rate shows you who’s actually crossing the finish line. If you're serious about improving rep performance, forecasting with confidence, and scaling revenue, it's time to move beyond vanity metrics.
Win rate is a number that is a reflection of how well your team sells when it really counts. When you focus on what really matters, you get better coaching, smarter forecasting, more consistent pipeline execution.
A solid win rate for most B2B SaaS teams typically falls between 20% and 30%. That said, context matters. SMB teams often see higher win rates due to shorter sales cycles and less deal complexity, while enterprise teams tend to fall on the lower end — simply because there are more stakeholders and longer timelines involved. The key isn’t just hitting a certain percentage — it’s improving steadily over time.
Great question, and one that trips up a lot of teams.
Win rate looks at how many qualified opportunities your team closes. Close rate, on the other hand, includes all leads, qualified or not.
Think of it this way: close rate measures how efficiently you convert interest into action, while win rate shows how well you perform once you're in the game. Win rate is the better indicator of rep performance and sales process effectiveness.
Here are the basic formulas:
Yes. Outreach helps teams improve win rate by combining guided selling, qualification enforcement, and real-time deal insights into one connected platform. With conversation intelligence, sales leaders can coach reps based on actual calls. With forecasting, they get clear signals about what’s likely to close. And with smart workflows, they make sure reps stay focused on the right deals at the right time.
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